The impact of Carbon Dioxide Emissions on Rice Production in Indonesia: Quadratic Function Approach

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Andryan Setyadharma, Indah Fajarini Sri Wahyuningrum, Rifa Atunnisa, Amalia Sulistiningsih, Ajie Badayasa

2026 BIO Web of Conferences Vol. 208 Conference paper Cited by 0 SDG 7SDG 2SDG 13 Quartile

Abstract

Rapid population growth is expected to be the main cause of the 70% rise in rice consumption over the next 30 years. On the other side, carbon dioxide concentrations are rising due to the use of the fossil fuels that are burnt for energy. Previous studies indicated that increases in carbon dioxide are likely to help rice production by increasing photosynthesis, growth, and grain yield. This study assesses the impact of higher rate of carbon dioxide on Rice Production in Indonesia by using Quadratic Function Approach with Dynamic Ordinary Least Square method. The study concludes that, initially, increases in carbon dioxide is helping rice production until certain point. Then, more increase in carbon dioxide is reducing rice production in Indonesia. This study concludes that higher level of carbon dioxide emissions concentration is hurting rice production in Indonesia. Therefore, it is important for the Government to reduce carbon dioxide level by introducing policies that adopt the wide implementation of clean energy technology, including renewable energy sources. © The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2026.

Affiliations

Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Semarang, Indonesia; Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Semarang, Indonesia

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